Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
78.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
AZA
5 - 3
WIL
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
WIL
0 - 2
VIT
28%
25%
48%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 3
SPA
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 2
WIL
27%
24%
50%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 0
WIL
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ADO
2 - 4
AJA
6%
13%
81%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 4
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
4 - 0
ZWO
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 1
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
1 - 2
TWE
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |