Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2002 |
WIL
3 - 1
GRO
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
RKC
0 - 1
WIL
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 3
TWE
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIL
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
WIL
2 - 2
SCH
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
BOS
0 - 1
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
UTR
3 - 1
AJA
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
AJA
5 - 1
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 3
RBC
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |