Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
4 - 0
WIL
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
PSV
6 - 1
WIL
78%
14%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1999 |
GIR
3 - 2
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 1
AZA
68%
18%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 3
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
DUK
1 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
3 - 1
VIT
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
RKC
1 - 1
AJA
21%
22%
56%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
6 - 1
DUK
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 2
FEY
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |