Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
WIL
3 - 4
FEY
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
TWE
6 - 1
WIL
68%
16%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
VVD
0 - 2
WIL
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
WIL
4 - 0
GRO
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
ADO
4 - 0
WIL
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
AJA
5 - 1
GRO
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
ADO
2 - 3
AJA
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
AJA
5 - 1
FOR
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
DWS
0 - 2
AJA
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
AJA
0 - 1
SPA
66%
19%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |