Willem II U21 vs Excelsior U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
ROD
0 - 4
WIL
38%
24%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
4 - 1
FCE
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
RKC
3 - 0
WIL
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -3 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
WIL
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 0
FOR
70%
16%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
6 - 1
FCE
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
FOR
48%
21%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 0
EXC
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
RKC
2 - 0
EXC
38%
23%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 2
DOR
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |