Non League Div One Southern South Round 12

Willand Rovers vs Slimbridge analysis

Willand Rovers Slimbridge
21 ELO 24
-12.2% Tilt -4.6%
11115º General ELO ranking 11180º
615º Country ELO ranking 624º
ELO win probability
38.4%
Willand Rovers
24.2%
Draw
37.4%
Slimbridge

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
Willand Rovers
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.4%
Win probability
Slimbridge
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Willand Rovers
-9%
-7%
Slimbridge

Points and table prediction

Willand Rovers
Their league position
Slimbridge
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
18º
15º
27
16º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AFC Totton
88
88
100%
Sholing
81
81
100%
Hamworthy United
74
74
100%
Evesham United
60
60
0%
Wimborne Town
60
60
0%
Tavistock
58
58
100%
Bashley
55
55
100%
Frome Town
54
54
100%
Bishop's Cleeve
52
52
100%
Westbury United
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Larkhall Athletic
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Melksham Town
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Paulton Rovers
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Exmouth Town
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Willand Rovers
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Lymington Town
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Bideford
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Bristol Manor Farm
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Cinderford Town
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Slimbridge
20º
27
27
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Willand Rovers
Slimbridge
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Willand Rovers
Slimbridge
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willand Rovers
Willand Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2022
WIL
Willand Rovers
0 - 3
Bideford
BID
44%
25%
30%
24 23 1 0
07 Sep. 2022
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
1 - 0
Willand Rovers
WIL
73%
17%
10%
24 38 14 0
03 Sep. 2022
WIL
Willand Rovers
1 - 1
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
15%
22%
63%
23 39 16 +1
29 Aug. 2022
WIL
Willand Rovers
1 - 0
Exmouth Town
EXM
29%
22%
49%
23 27 4 0
27 Aug. 2022
WIL
Willand Rovers
3 - 0
Lymington Town
LYM
70%
17%
13%
22 17 5 +1

Matches

Slimbridge
Slimbridge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2022
BAS
Bashley
0 - 1
Slimbridge
SLI
76%
14%
10%
23 34 11 0
13 Sep. 2022
AFT
AFC Totton
1 - 1
Slimbridge
SLI
65%
20%
15%
23 31 8 0
06 Sep. 2022
SHO
Sholing
5 - 2
Slimbridge
SLI
64%
21%
15%
23 34 11 0
03 Sep. 2022
SLI
Slimbridge
0 - 0
Sholing
SHO
27%
24%
49%
23 34 11 0
29 Aug. 2022
SLI
Slimbridge
1 - 1
Bristol Manor Farm
BRI
28%
22%
50%
23 30 7 0