Willand Rovers vs Shepton Mallet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willand Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SHE
1 - 1
WIL
58%
21%
22%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
WIL
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 3
GOS
17%
22%
62%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 2
AVE
21%
21%
57%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 0
BLA
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Shepton Mallet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SHE
1 - 1
WIL
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SHE
0 - 2
PLY
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SHE
0 - 0
CHE
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | -1 |