Challenge League . Jor. 35

FC Wil vs Thun analysis

FC Wil Thun
56 ELO 64
6.4% Tilt 15.2%
1938º General ELO ranking 946º
18º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
25%
FC Wil
23.6%
Draw
51.3%
Thun

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.3%
Win probability
Thun
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Wil
-5%
+13%
Thun

ELO progression

FC Wil
Thun
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2022
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
24%
24%
52%
56 65 9 0
06 May. 2022
FCV
FC Vaduz
5 - 2
FC Wil
WIL
55%
24%
22%
57 63 6 -1
30 Apr. 2022
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 2
Yverdon
YVE
33%
26%
42%
57 61 4 0
22 Apr. 2022
SCH
Schaffhausen
5 - 2
FC Wil
WIL
56%
23%
21%
58 64 6 -1
16 Apr. 2022
WIL
FC Wil
3 - 0
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
32%
26%
42%
56 62 6 +2

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2022
THU
Thun
2 - 5
Schaffhausen
SCH
39%
25%
36%
65 65 0 0
06 May. 2022
WIN
Winterthur
2 - 2
Thun
THU
42%
24%
34%
65 65 0 0
30 Apr. 2022
THU
Thun
3 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
36%
25%
40%
64 64 0 +1
23 Apr. 2022
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3 - 1
Thun
THU
27%
25%
48%
65 61 4 -1
18 Apr. 2022
THU
Thun
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
36%
24%
40%
64 64 0 +1
X