FC Wil vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BIE
0 - 0
WIL
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
LAU
3 - 1
WIL
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
THU
3 - 2
WIL
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 0
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 1
WIL
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 1
LAU
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 1
LUG
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
WOH
2 - 1
LUG
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 0
WIN
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
LUG
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |