FC Wil vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LOC
2 - 3
WIL
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 0
WIN
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 3
FCV
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 4
ZUR
24%
22%
54%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
CHI
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
3 - 3
FCV
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
WIN
2 - 1
LUG
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
WOH
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BIE
0 - 1
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 2
FCA
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |