FC Wil vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
YVE
0 - 2
WIL
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIL
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 2
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LOC
1 - 1
WIL
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TUG
2 - 1
WIL
27%
23%
50%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 1
LUG
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BLA
0 - 3
LUG
9%
14%
77%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 2
BIE
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LUG
3 - 0
DEL
77%
16%
8%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
IBA
0 - 2
LUG
7%
13%
81%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |