FC Wil vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
DEL
4 - 0
WIL
16%
24%
60%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 1
STA
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 3
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 1
WIL
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 2
FCA
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 0
LOC
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LOC
2 - 1
SCB
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
LOC
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 3
KRI
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 1
WIL
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |