FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
STA
1 - 1
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 0
NEX
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
YVE
2 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 1
KRI
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
45%
22%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 2
YVE
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
WIN
4 - 2
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 4
SCH
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
FCV
0 - 2
FCA
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |