Wiener SC vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
14.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wiener SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
AUS
3 - 2
WIE
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
WIE
4 - 4
VIE
53%
20%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
POS
1 - 4
WIE
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1941 |
WIE
0 - 3
SWW
49%
20%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1941 |
RAP
2 - 1
WIE
77%
13%
11%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
SWW
6 - 1
STR
77%
13%
11%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
STR
0 - 3
FCW
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
AWM
1 - 2
STR
76%
13%
11%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1941 |
STR
3 - 1
POS
85%
10%
5%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1941 |
STR
0 - 2
AUS
36%
20%
44%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |