Austria Fourth Division Low Austria Round 14

Wiener Neustadt vs St. Pölten II analysis

Wiener Neustadt St. Pölten II
31 ELO 26
5.7% Tilt 6.1%
5364º General ELO ranking 8918º
83º Country ELO ranking 190º
ELO win probability
63.7%
Wiener Neustadt
18.5%
Draw
17.8%
St. Pölten II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
Wiener Neustadt
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.8%
Win probability
St. Pölten II
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wiener Neustadt
-4%
+36%
St. Pölten II

Points and table prediction

Wiener Neustadt
Their league position
St. Pölten II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
35
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gloggnitz
62
62
100%
Schrems
59
59
100%
SC Korneuburg
58
58
100%
Wiener Neustadt
54
54
100%
Kilb
49
49
100%
Ortmann
47
47
100%
SC Retz
43
43
0%
Zwettl
43
43
0%
St. Peter
40
40
100%
Langenrohr
10º
39
39
10º
100%
Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
11º
36
36
11º
100%
St. Pölten II
12º
35
35
12º
100%
Rohrbach
13º
33
33
13º
100%
SV Haitzendorf
14º
29
29
14º
100%
Kottingbrunn
15º
25
25
15º
100%
Waidhofen / Thaya
16º
11
11
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Wiener Neustadt
St. Pölten II
100% 100%

ELO progression

Wiener Neustadt
St. Pölten II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wiener Neustadt
Wiener Neustadt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2023
ZWE
Zwettl
3 - 2
Wiener Neustadt
WIE
36%
23%
41%
31 27 4 0
20 Oct. 2023
WIE
Wiener Neustadt
1 - 1
St. Peter
STP
69%
17%
14%
31 25 6 0
14 Oct. 2023
WIE
Wiener Neustadt
1 - 0
Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
SCH
41%
22%
37%
29 34 5 +2
08 Oct. 2023
SVH
SV Haitzendorf
5 - 1
Wiener Neustadt
WIE
17%
19%
64%
32 20 12 -3
29 Sep. 2023
WIE
Wiener Neustadt
0 - 4
Kilb
SCU
73%
16%
12%
33 26 7 -1

Matches

St. Pölten II
St. Pölten II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2023
STP
St. Pölten II
2 - 1
SV Haitzendorf
SVH
63%
20%
18%
26 22 4 0
21 Oct. 2023
SCU
Kilb
1 - 1
St. Pölten II
STP
54%
22%
25%
25 30 5 +1
13 Oct. 2023
STP
St. Pölten II
0 - 1
Ortmann
SCO
40%
24%
36%
25 29 4 0
06 Oct. 2023
ASV
Schrems
7 - 0
St. Pölten II
STP
57%
20%
24%
26 30 4 -1
30 Sep. 2023
STP
St. Pölten II
4 - 1
Langenrohr
LAN
45%
23%
31%
25 26 1 +1