Wick Academy vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
58.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
11º
18º
12º
30
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 72 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wick Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WIC
1 - 3
JSW
10%
13%
77%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WIC
0 - 3
FRA
3%
10%
87%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WIC
1 - 5
TUR
21%
20%
58%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ROT
3 - 0
WIC
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
WIC
3 - 0
CLA
21%
21%
59%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 1
FOR
11%
14%
75%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
FOR
54%
20%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DEV
1 - 1
FOR
21%
20%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
KEI
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BUC
3 - 1
FOR
88%
9%
3%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |