National League South Playoff . Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Whitehawk vs Basingstoke Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whitehawk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
HAV
1 - 2
WHI
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
WHI
3 - 1
HEM
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
WEA
0 - 2
WHI
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 0
HAY
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
EBB
3 - 0
WHI
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
WES
1 - 2
BAS
30%
24%
45%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
HAV
42%
28%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SUT
2 - 1
BAS
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
FAR
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
HAY
0 - 1
BAS
21%
24%
56%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |