Canadian Championship Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 0
VAN
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
VAN
1 - 1
HOD
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
POR
4 - 2
VAN
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 4
VAN
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 1
CFS
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
OTT
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 0
VAN
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
OTT
1 - 2
FOR
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
OTT
1 - 0
JAC
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
OTT
0 - 2
EDM
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |