USL First Division - USA Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Hershey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
VAN
4 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAN
30%
24%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
SES
5 - 0
VAN
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
VAN
2 - 1
SES
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
MIB
2 - 1
VAN
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hershey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
HER
1 - 0
POR
27%
25%
49%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
POR
0 - 2
HER
72%
18%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
CAC
1 - 3
HER
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
HER
1 - 0
CAC
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
HER
3 - 0
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |