Weymouth vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weymouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
STN
1 - 2
WEY
29%
23%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
FAR
2 - 6
WEY
27%
24%
50%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
WEY
3 - 1
KIN
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CHM
2 - 1
WEY
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
WEY
3 - 2
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MER
5 - 0
GOS
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
MER
4 - 5
SLO
39%
24%
38%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
KET
5 - 0
MER
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
STI
2 - 3
MER
15%
22%
63%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
TIV
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |