Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
4º
4º
44
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
WES
2 - 0
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WES
1 - 1
BRI
42%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 1
WES
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WES
1 - 0
PER
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
WES
1 - 3
BRI
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CCM
4 - 2
WUF
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CCM
1 - 2
PER
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
WPH
2 - 2
CCM
41%
26%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SYD
3 - 3
CCM
40%
25%
36%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ADE
3 - 1
CCM
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |