Western Suburbs vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
LHC
4 - 1
WSU
28%
21%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
WSU
4 - 0
UHC
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 0
WSU
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
WSU
4 - 1
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
WKA
1 - 0
WSU
10%
15%
75%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NAP
5 - 0
WAF
94%
5%
1%
|
34 | 6 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
WAI
2 - 4
NAP
31%
20%
48%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
NWA
4 - 4
NAP
19%
18%
63%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
WSU
4 - 1
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
NAP
1 - 4
MIR
17%
20%
64%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |