Western Suburbs vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
WKA
1 - 0
WSU
10%
15%
75%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
WEL
3 - 2
WSU
41%
24%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
WSU
2 - 0
PET
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
WAI
2 - 2
WSU
22%
22%
55%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
WSU
4 - 0
NWA
80%
12%
7%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
NAP
1 - 4
MIR
17%
20%
64%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
FCW
0 - 3
NAP
8%
13%
80%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NAP
0 - 0
WKA
87%
8%
4%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
LHC
3 - 0
NAP
16%
17%
66%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -3 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
WEL
2 - 1
NAP
42%
23%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |