Carabao Cup 1/32

West Ham vs Millwall analysis

West Ham Millwall
86 ELO 67
1.2% Tilt -12.1%
79º General ELO ranking 865º
14º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
75.7%
West Ham
16.2%
Draw
8.1%
Millwall

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
West Ham
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.1%
Win probability
Millwall
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO progression

West Ham
Millwall
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

West Ham
West Ham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2009
WHU
West Ham
1 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
32%
26%
42%
86 90 4 0
15 Aug. 2009
WOL
Wolves
0 - 2
West Ham
WHU
40%
27%
33%
85 79 6 +1
24 May. 2009
WHU
West Ham
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
53%
25%
22%
85 84 1 0
16 May. 2009
EVE
Everton
3 - 1
West Ham
WHU
65%
21%
13%
85 90 5 0
09 May. 2009
WHU
West Ham
0 - 3
Liverpool
LIV
20%
25%
55%
85 95 10 0

Matches

Millwall
Millwall
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2009
SOU
Southend United
0 - 0
Millwall
MIL
44%
27%
29%
67 66 1 0
18 Aug. 2009
MIL
Millwall
2 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
52%
26%
23%
67 61 6 0
15 Aug. 2009
MIL
Millwall
0 - 0
Carlisle United
CUM
59%
24%
17%
67 60 7 0
11 Aug. 2009
MIL
Millwall
4 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
43%
26%
31%
66 64 2 +1
08 Aug. 2009
SOU
Southampton
1 - 1
Millwall
MIL
50%
26%
25%
66 67 1 0