West Adelaide vs Croydon Kings analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7º
12º
12º
25
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Adelaide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
WAD
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WAD
0 - 1
WHI
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NEM
2 - 0
WAD
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WAD
3 - 2
MOD
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SLF
1 - 0
WAD
35%
21%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Croydon Kings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 2
ADE
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 2
CAM
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
WHI
2 - 2
CRO
39%
24%
38%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 6
NEM
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 1
CRO
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |