Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BYM
6 - 1
BRE
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 1
PAD
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
WOL
2 - 3
BRE
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BRE
1 - 2
S04
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
BRE
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
M05
0 - 4
BVB
13%
18%
69%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
AUG
2 - 1
M05
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
M05
2 - 1
EIN
24%
22%
55%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
HOF
1 - 5
M05
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
M05
2 - 1
DAR
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |