Werder Bremen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
AND
1 - 2
BRE
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
M05
2 - 1
BRE
20%
24%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 2
BYM
43%
24%
32%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 1
VCF
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
RTV
1 - 4
BRE
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
FCN
3 - 0
SCF
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BVB
2 - 2
FCN
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FCN
1 - 2
ARB
47%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
FCN
2 - 3
RWA
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
LEV
2 - 2
FCN
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |