Werder Bremen vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 3
BRE
21%
22%
58%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 2
LEV
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
HSV
4 - 0
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
HAN
70%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
M05
1 - 1
BRE
26%
23%
51%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
HOF
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
WOL
2 - 1
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
S04
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
STP
3 - 1
MON
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 3
STU
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |