Werder Bremen vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
71%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RBL
2 - 0
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 2
STU
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
WOL
5 - 3
BRE
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BYM
1 - 1
BRE
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 96 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
BRE
2 - 4
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BVB
1 - 5
STU
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
ZEN
1 - 2
BVB
26%
21%
54%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 1
BVB
20%
20%
61%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
BVB
1 - 1
LAZ
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BVB
1 - 2
KOL
75%
16%
10%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |