Werder Bremen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1961 |
BRE
5 - 3
ENO
89%
8%
4%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1961 |
EBT
1 - 1
BRE
61%
19%
20%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1961 |
SAA
0 - 1
BRE
62%
18%
20%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
BRE
3 - 0
HOL
83%
11%
6%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
STP
2 - 0
BRE
69%
16%
15%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1961 |
MSV
0 - 1
KOL
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1961 |
KOL
5 - 3
SVS
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1961 |
EIN
2 - 3
KOL
76%
14%
10%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1961 |
KOL
1 - 0
SVS
84%
10%
6%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
MON
2 - 3
KOL
52%
22%
26%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |