Werder Bremen II vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SSV
3 - 2
WER
66%
21%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WER
2 - 3
ARB
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 0
WER
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WER
0 - 4
VFR
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
OSN
1 - 1
WER
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CZJ
1 - 0
ERF
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ERF
2 - 3
BAB
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 1
ERF
26%
27%
48%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ERF
0 - 0
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
UNT
1 - 3
ERF
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |