Werder Bremen II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
54.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
HOL
1 - 1
WER
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1999 |
MEP
2 - 4
WER
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
WER
1 - 3
CEL
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
SRF
2 - 5
WER
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1999 |
WER
4 - 0
HOL
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1999 |
GUT
2 - 1
KÖL
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
KÖL
0 - 0
ROT
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
COT
2 - 0
KÖL
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
KÖL
1 - 1
STP
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
M05
1 - 1
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |