Wembley vs Burnham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
59.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wembley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
WEM
1 - 0
HFC
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BED
8 - 0
WEM
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
EDT
4 - 0
WEM
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WEM
1 - 2
ARD
40%
22%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 2
WEM
68%
18%
15%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 2
MIL
70%
16%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 2
BED
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 4
BUR
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 1
BUR
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
5 - 0
RIS
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +3 |