Wembley vs Burnham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
57.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wembley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
WEM
1 - 0
HFC
49%
21%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BED
8 - 0
WEM
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
EDT
4 - 0
WEM
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WEM
1 - 2
ARD
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 2
WEM
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 2
MIL
71%
16%
14%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 2
BED
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 4
BUR
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 1
BUR
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
5 - 0
RIS
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |