Welzenegg vs Treibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welzenegg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
WEL
3 - 2
RUD
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
KMD
1 - 1
WEL
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
WEL
2 - 1
RAP
29%
24%
47%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
WOL
2 - 1
WEL
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
WEL
2 - 2
STE
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
KMD
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
RAP
1 - 0
TRE
46%
25%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
STE
2 - 2
TRE
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
TRE
0 - 0
WOL
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
TRE
0 - 3
DRA
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |