Welwyn Garden City vs Aylesbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welwyn Garden City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 2
WAN
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
WEL
0 - 0
BER
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
WEL
39%
24%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 1
WEL
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 2
FCR
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 1
AYL
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AYL
2 - 0
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
STN
3 - 2
AYL
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AYL
1 - 1
AFD
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WAR
5 - 2
AYL
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |