Wels vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
GRA
5 - 0
WEL
94%
5%
1%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 1
STA
19%
21%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
WEL
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
WEL
1 - 5
WAC
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
ALL
6 - 0
WEL
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
STU
0 - 1
GDF
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
KAL
2 - 0
STU
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
STU
3 - 1
LEN
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
DLB
3 - 3
STU
65%
19%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
TBG
0 - 0
STU
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |