Wells City vs AFC Portchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
78.1%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wells City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BID
3 - 0
WEL
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
WEL
2 - 0
BOT
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
WEL
1 - 1
GLO
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WEL
2 - 5
SHA
10%
14%
76%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BID
6 - 0
WEL
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Portchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
BEM
3 - 0
AFC
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 3
AFC
19%
19%
63%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +4 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
BMR
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LAV
0 - 1
AFC
11%
15%
74%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +3 |