Wellington vs Sherborne Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
54.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 2
CLE
21%
19%
60%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
4 - 2
WEL
48%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
KEY
4 - 0
WEL
43%
21%
36%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CLE
4 - 3
WEL
80%
12%
9%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SHE
3 - 0
WEL
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sherborne Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAD
1 - 1
SHE
69%
17%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 2
BUC
17%
19%
63%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 2
WEL
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAF
2 - 0
SHE
84%
10%
5%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 2
SHE
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |