Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
WPH
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
PER
3 - 0
WPH
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
WPH
1 - 0
MCI
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
WPH
0 - 1
SYD
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MEL
3 - 3
WPH
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 2
PER
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CCM
2 - 3
MEL
16%
22%
63%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
SYD
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MEL
3 - 3
WPH
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 5
MEL
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |