Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
3º
18
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
15.5% | 22.5% |
|
Next round
|
69.5% | 68.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
WPH
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
WPH
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 1
MEL
41%
25%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PER
3 - 4
WPH
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
WPH
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 4
CCM
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 0
BRI
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
MCI
49%
23%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CCM
1 - 1
MEL
58%
21%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
WES
0 - 1
CCM
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |