Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
5º
2º
28
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 0
STO
94%
5%
2%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NWA
0 - 4
WEL
7%
12%
82%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
PET
93%
5%
2%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
WAF
3 - 4
WEL
4%
9%
87%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
WKA
86%
10%
5%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WKA
2 - 2
WSU
41%
21%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WSU
3 - 1
MIR
13%
15%
71%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
WSU
65%
17%
18%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PET
0 - 0
WSU
35%
21%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
WSU
3 - 3
STO
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |