Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
WEL
2 - 7
HAW
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 0
WEL
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
WEL
3 - 0
SOU
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
WEL
1 - 4
CAN
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TAS
1 - 1
WEL
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
WAI
4 - 1
AUC
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 2
WAI
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TEA
7 - 2
WAI
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
WAI
2 - 2
TAS
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
WAI
1 - 1
EAS
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |