Wellington Olympic vs Manurewa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
STO
93%
5%
2%
|
50 | 14 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
STO
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 14 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
0 - 5
WEL
12%
16%
72%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
0 - 1
WEL
6%
11%
83%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
WEL
7%
13%
80%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 4
BIR
19%
18%
64%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HAW
3 - 3
MAN
38%
21%
41%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
ONE
19%
18%
63%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 2
MAN
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
WCR
69%
17%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |