Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 5
WEL
12%
17%
71%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 0
BIR
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 3
WEL
60%
19%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 4
WEL
22%
21%
57%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 2
AUC
19%
21%
61%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 2
AUC
18%
20%
62%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 1
AFC
59%
20%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHR
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 2
AFC
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
MEL
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |