Welling United vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 1
WEL
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 1
BAT
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BIL
2 - 2
WEL
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 2
HEM
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SLO
2 - 1
WEL
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
DAR
2 - 1
CHM
62%
22%
17%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CHM
0 - 1
EAS
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 1
CHM
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CHM
1 - 2
OXF
21%
24%
56%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 0
CHM
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |