Wellin vs Ethe Belmont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
58.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 1
WEL
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
WEL
4 - 2
LAR
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
WEL
1 - 1
NOP
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
OPP
2 - 0
WEL
60%
20%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
GUL
2 - 0
WEL
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ethe Belmont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
EBE
1 - 1
OPP
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ROS
0 - 2
EBE
14%
18%
69%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
EBE
1 - 2
SAI
70%
17%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MEI
2 - 0
EBE
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 2
EBE
22%
21%
57%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |