WBC vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 2
WBC
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WBC
1 - 0
KAM
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VOO
0 - 1
WBC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
WBC
4 - 3
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 2
WBC
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
VIC
2 - 1
NOT
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 4
TRA
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
INT
1 - 1
NOT
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
INT
2 - 2
NOT
37%
24%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -3 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
RAN
0 - 1
NOT
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |