Wattenscheid 09 vs FC Bocholt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
41%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
15º
18º
17º
36
13º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 64 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 55 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
9º
|
90% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
WIE
2 - 0
WAT
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KÖL
6 - 0
WAT
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 2
KOB
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
VFR
3 - 5
WAT
13%
15%
72%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 1
SFB
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC Bocholt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FCB
4 - 2
RWA
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
WUP
5 - 1
FCB
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 1
KÖL
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MEE
1 - 6
FCB
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VFB
2 - 0
FCB
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |