Watford Sub 23 vs Swansea Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 0
WAT
61%
21%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
QPR
1 - 2
WAT
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
WAT
4 - 2
MIL
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
WAT
3 - 2
IPS
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 1
WAT
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 1
IPS
33%
24%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 2
SWA
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 4
SWA
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 1
QPR
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 3
BRI
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |