Watford vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
TOT
2 - 0
WAT
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
WAT
0 - 0
CRY
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 0
WAT
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 2
BUR
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
WAT
2 - 2
BOU
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 1
WBA
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
LEI
1 - 2
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
HUR
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |